Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
