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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
LL

Augsburg
1 - 4
B. Leverkusen

FT(HT: 1-2)
Iago (3' og.), Niederlechner (14' og.), Schick (75'), Wirtz (81')
Demirbay (66')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 60.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 17.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.69%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-0 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawBayer Leverkusen
17.47%21.58%60.96%
Both teams to score 51.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.57%45.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.23%67.77%
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.46%39.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.77%76.23%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.58%14.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.65%42.35%
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 17.47%
    Bayer Leverkusen 60.95%
    Draw 21.58%
AugsburgDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 5.29%
2-1 @ 4.75%
2-0 @ 2.46%
3-1 @ 1.47%
3-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 17.47%
1-1 @ 10.24%
0-0 @ 5.7%
2-2 @ 4.6%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.58%
0-1 @ 11.04%
0-2 @ 10.69%
1-2 @ 9.92%
0-3 @ 6.9%
1-3 @ 6.4%
0-4 @ 3.34%
1-4 @ 3.1%
2-3 @ 2.97%
2-4 @ 1.44%
0-5 @ 1.29%
1-5 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 60.95%

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