Were Haaland fit enough to play a big part on Sunday, we would be predicting a comfortable Dortmund victory, but with their talisman likely to be missing, these are the types of games that Dortmund tend to slip up in.
The visitors coped well without Haaland in their demolition of Gladbach last week, and if they can replicate that clinical form on Sunday, then they should have enough in them to see off a struggling Augsburg side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 19.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.01%) and 0-1 (7.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
