SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 54.21%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 24.16% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.56%) and 1-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Augsburg |
54.21% ( 0.09) | 21.62% ( -0.02) | 24.16% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 62.33% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.58% ( 0.01) | 36.41% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.45% ( 0.01) | 58.55% ( -0) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.47% ( 0.03) | 13.52% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.41% ( 0.06) | 40.58% ( -0.06) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.08% ( -0.05) | 27.91% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.46% ( -0.07) | 63.53% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Koln | Draw | Augsburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.1% 4-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.05% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.81% Total : 54.21% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.78% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.62% | 1-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.59% Total : 24.16% |
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