SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 37.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.86%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Freiburg |
37.67% ( -1) | 24.66% ( 0.32) | 37.67% ( 0.68) |
| Both teams to score 59% ( -1.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.93% ( -1.51) | 44.07% ( 1.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.55% ( -1.48) | 66.45% ( 1.48) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.81% ( -1.18) | 23.19% ( 1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.92% ( -1.76) | 57.08% ( 1.76) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.81% ( -0.33) | 23.19% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.92% ( -0.48) | 57.08% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Augsburg | Draw | Freiburg |
| 2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.19% Total : 37.67% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.35)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.66% | 1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.43)0-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.19% Total : 37.67% |
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