Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.