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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 15, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
AB

Bayern
3 - 3
Arminia Bielefeld

Lewandowski (48'), Tolisso (57'), Davies (70')
Tolisso (78')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Vlap (9'), Pieper (37'), Gebauer (49')
Kunze (80')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 88.69%. A draw had a probability of 7.5% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 3.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.22%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-2 (1.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawArminia Bielefeld
88.69%7.5%3.81%
Both teams to score 52.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
82.42%17.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
65.4%34.6%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.57%2.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
88.54%11.46%
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.43%46.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.84%82.16%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 88.69%
    Arminia Bielefeld 3.81%
    Draw 7.5%
Bayern MunichDrawArminia Bielefeld
3-0 @ 9.73%
4-0 @ 9.05%
2-0 @ 7.83%
3-1 @ 7.43%
4-1 @ 6.92%
5-0 @ 6.74%
2-1 @ 5.99%
5-1 @ 5.15%
1-0 @ 4.21%
6-0 @ 4.19%
6-1 @ 3.2%
3-2 @ 2.84%
4-2 @ 2.64%
7-0 @ 2.23%
5-2 @ 1.97%
7-1 @ 1.7%
6-2 @ 1.22%
8-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 4.61%
Total : 88.69%
1-1 @ 3.22%
2-2 @ 2.29%
0-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 7.5%
1-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 3.81%

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