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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 20, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
WWK Arena
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Augsburg
0 - 1
Bayern


Khedira (15'), Uduokhai (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lewandowski (13' pen.)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 86.3%. A draw had a probability of 9.1% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 4.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-3 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.84%) and 0-4 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.18%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (1.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawBayern Munich
4.56%9.15%86.3%
Both teams to score 48.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.59%23.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.16%42.84%
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.62%49.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.78%84.22%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.4%3.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
84.41%15.59%
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 4.56%
    Bayern Munich 86.29%
    Draw 9.15%
AugsburgDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 1.47%
1-0 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 4.56%
1-1 @ 4.18%
2-2 @ 2.45%
0-0 @ 1.78%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 9.15%
0-3 @ 10.9%
0-2 @ 9.84%
0-4 @ 9.07%
1-3 @ 7.7%
1-2 @ 6.94%
1-4 @ 6.4%
0-5 @ 6.03%
0-1 @ 5.92%
1-5 @ 4.26%
0-6 @ 3.34%
2-3 @ 2.72%
1-6 @ 2.36%
2-4 @ 2.26%
0-7 @ 1.59%
2-5 @ 1.5%
1-7 @ 1.12%
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 86.29%

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