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Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 31, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
AB

FC Koln
3 - 1
Arminia Bielefeld

Wolf (10', 28'), Rexhbecaj (63')
Jakobs (42'), Duda (54')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Cordova (73')
Soukou (65')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 37.73%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawArminia Bielefeld
37.73%27.24%35.03%
Both teams to score 50.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.63%55.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.42%76.58%
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.6%28.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.86%64.14%
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96%30.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.83%66.17%
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 37.72%
    Arminia Bielefeld 35.02%
    Draw 27.23%
FC KolnDrawArminia Bielefeld
1-0 @ 10.73%
2-1 @ 8.13%
2-0 @ 6.76%
3-1 @ 3.41%
3-0 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 2.05%
4-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 37.72%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 8.53%
2-2 @ 4.89%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 10.25%
1-2 @ 7.77%
0-2 @ 6.17%
1-3 @ 3.11%
0-3 @ 2.47%
2-3 @ 1.96%
1-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 35.02%

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