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Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 30, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
HL

Bayern
4 - 1
Hoffenheim

Boateng (32'), Muller (43'), Lewandowski (57'), Gnabry (63')
Roca (53')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kramaric (44')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 77.75%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 9.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.4%) and 3-0 (6.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.53%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (2.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawHoffenheim
77.75%12.4%9.86%
Both teams to score 66.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
81.87%18.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
64.6%35.4%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.18%3.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.7%16.3%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.93%31.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.61%67.39%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 77.75%
    Hoffenheim 9.86%
    Draw 12.4%
Bayern MunichDrawHoffenheim
3-1 @ 8.06%
2-1 @ 7.4%
3-0 @ 6.9%
4-1 @ 6.59%
2-0 @ 6.33%
4-0 @ 5.63%
3-2 @ 4.71%
5-1 @ 4.3%
1-0 @ 3.88%
4-2 @ 3.85%
5-0 @ 3.68%
5-2 @ 2.52%
6-1 @ 2.34%
6-0 @ 2%
4-3 @ 1.5%
6-2 @ 1.37%
7-1 @ 1.09%
5-3 @ 0.98%
7-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 77.75%
1-1 @ 4.53%
2-2 @ 4.33%
3-3 @ 1.84%
0-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 12.4%
1-2 @ 2.65%
2-3 @ 1.69%
0-1 @ 1.39%
1-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 9.86%

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