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Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 27, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
KL

Bayern
5 - 1
FC Koln

Maxim Choupo-Moting (18'), Lewandowski (33', 65'), Gnabry (82', 86')
Alaba (22'), Sane (45+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Skhiri (49')
Czichos (45')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 86.34%. A draw had a probability of 8.8% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 4.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.72%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-2 (1.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawFC Koln
86.34%8.78%4.88%
Both teams to score 54.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
81.08%18.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
63.43%36.57%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.1%2.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.83%13.17%
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.26%43.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.09%79.91%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 86.34%
    FC Koln 4.88%
    Draw 8.78%
Bayern MunichDrawFC Koln
3-0 @ 9.41%
4-0 @ 8.34%
2-0 @ 7.96%
3-1 @ 7.78%
4-1 @ 6.9%
2-1 @ 6.59%
5-0 @ 5.91%
5-1 @ 4.89%
1-0 @ 4.49%
6-0 @ 3.49%
3-2 @ 3.22%
6-1 @ 2.89%
4-2 @ 2.85%
5-2 @ 2.02%
7-0 @ 1.77%
7-1 @ 1.46%
6-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 5.18%
Total : 86.34%
1-1 @ 3.72%
2-2 @ 2.72%
0-0 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 8.78%
1-2 @ 1.54%
0-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 4.88%

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