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Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Oct 31, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
BL

FC Koln
1 - 2
Bayern

Drexler (82')
Wolf (89')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Muller (13' pen.), Gnabry (45+1')
Maxim Choupo-Moting (10'), Pavard (23')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 77.9%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (8.66%) and 1-2 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.64%), while for a FC Koln win it was 2-1 (2.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawBayern Munich
9%13.1%77.9%
Both teams to score 58.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.83%25.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.85%45.15%
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.36%38.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.61%75.38%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.81%5.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.46%20.54%
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 9%
    Bayern Munich 77.9%
    Draw 13.1%
FC KolnDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 2.68%
1-0 @ 1.91%
3-2 @ 1.26%
2-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 9%
1-1 @ 5.64%
2-2 @ 3.97%
0-0 @ 2%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 13.1%
0-2 @ 8.78%
0-3 @ 8.66%
1-2 @ 8.35%
1-3 @ 8.24%
0-4 @ 6.41%
1-4 @ 6.1%
0-1 @ 5.93%
2-3 @ 3.92%
0-5 @ 3.8%
1-5 @ 3.61%
2-4 @ 2.9%
0-6 @ 1.87%
1-6 @ 1.78%
2-5 @ 1.72%
3-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 4.92%
Total : 77.9%


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