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Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Sep 19, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
BM

Dortmund
3 - 0
Borussia M'bach

Reyna (35'), Braut Haaland (54' pen., 77')
Akanji (13')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Stindl (39')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
40.27%24.82%34.92%
Both teams to score 58.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.97%45.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.62%67.38%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.7%22.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.23%55.77%
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.87%25.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.16%59.85%
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 40.27%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 34.92%
    Draw 24.81%
Borussia DortmundDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 8.71%
1-0 @ 8.41%
2-0 @ 6.31%
3-1 @ 4.36%
3-0 @ 3.16%
3-2 @ 3.01%
4-1 @ 1.64%
4-0 @ 1.18%
4-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 40.27%
1-1 @ 11.61%
2-2 @ 6.02%
0-0 @ 5.61%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.81%
1-2 @ 8.02%
0-1 @ 7.74%
0-2 @ 5.35%
1-3 @ 3.69%
2-3 @ 2.77%
0-3 @ 2.46%
1-4 @ 1.28%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 34.92%


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