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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
Jun 20, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
DL

RB Leipzig
0 - 2
Dortmund


Schick (21'), Kampl (53'), Angelino (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Braut Haaland (30', 90+3')
Reyna (50'), Can (74'), Witsel (80')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawBorussia Dortmund
39.95%24.13%35.93%
Both teams to score 60.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.37%41.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.97%64.03%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.02%20.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.25%53.75%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77%23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.19%56.8%
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 39.95%
    Borussia Dortmund 35.93%
    Draw 24.12%
RB LeipzigDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.65%
1-0 @ 7.54%
2-0 @ 5.88%
3-1 @ 4.5%
3-2 @ 3.31%
3-0 @ 3.06%
4-1 @ 1.76%
4-2 @ 1.29%
4-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 39.95%
1-1 @ 11.07%
2-2 @ 6.35%
0-0 @ 4.83%
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.12%
1-2 @ 8.14%
0-1 @ 7.09%
0-2 @ 5.21%
1-3 @ 3.99%
2-3 @ 3.11%
0-3 @ 2.55%
1-4 @ 1.47%
2-4 @ 1.14%
0-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 35.93%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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