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Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 22, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Borussia-Park
DL

Borussia M'bach
4 - 2
Dortmund

Elvedi (11', 32'), Bensebaini (49'), Thuram (78')
Kramer (89')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Braut Haaland (22', 28')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 54.58%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 22.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawBorussia Dortmund
22.93%22.49%54.58%
Both teams to score 57.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.1%41.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.7%64.3%
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04%31.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59%68.41%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.71%15.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56%44%
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 22.93%
    Borussia Dortmund 54.58%
    Draw 22.48%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 5.97%
1-0 @ 5.57%
2-0 @ 3.18%
3-1 @ 2.27%
3-2 @ 2.13%
3-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 22.93%
1-1 @ 10.46%
2-2 @ 5.61%
0-0 @ 4.89%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.48%
1-2 @ 9.83%
0-1 @ 9.18%
0-2 @ 8.62%
1-3 @ 6.15%
0-3 @ 5.39%
2-3 @ 3.51%
1-4 @ 2.89%
0-4 @ 2.53%
2-4 @ 1.65%
1-5 @ 1.09%
0-5 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 54.58%

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