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Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Jan 3, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
W

Dortmund
2 - 0
Wolfsburg

Akanji (66'), Sancho (90+1')
Hummels (25'), Delaney (40'), Braut Haaland (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Steffen (38')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 52.04%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 24.97% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawWolfsburg
52.04%22.99%24.97%
Both teams to score 58.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.92%42.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.52%64.48%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.77%16.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.26%45.74%
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.65%30.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.46%66.54%
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 52.04%
    Wolfsburg 24.97%
    Draw 22.99%
Borussia DortmundDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.71%
1-0 @ 8.96%
2-0 @ 8.14%
3-1 @ 5.89%
3-0 @ 4.94%
3-2 @ 3.51%
4-1 @ 2.68%
4-0 @ 2.24%
4-2 @ 1.6%
5-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 52.04%
1-1 @ 10.67%
2-2 @ 5.79%
0-0 @ 4.93%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 6.37%
0-1 @ 5.87%
0-2 @ 3.5%
1-3 @ 2.53%
2-3 @ 2.3%
0-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3%
Total : 24.97%

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