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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 19, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Borussia-Park
WB

Borussia M'bach
1 - 0
Werder Bremen

Elvedi (66')
Sommer (37'), Wendt (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pavlenka (22'), Sargent (48')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 49.67%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawWerder Bremen
49.67%23.31%27.01%
Both teams to score 59.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.23%41.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.83%64.17%
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.03%16.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.93%47.07%
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.38%28.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.57%64.42%
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 49.67%
    Werder Bremen 27.01%
    Draw 23.3%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.56%
1-0 @ 8.61%
2-0 @ 7.64%
3-1 @ 5.65%
3-0 @ 4.52%
3-2 @ 3.54%
4-1 @ 2.51%
4-0 @ 2%
4-2 @ 1.57%
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 49.67%
1-1 @ 10.77%
2-2 @ 5.98%
0-0 @ 4.86%
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.3%
1-2 @ 6.74%
0-1 @ 6.08%
0-2 @ 3.8%
1-3 @ 2.81%
2-3 @ 2.49%
0-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 27.01%

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