Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 62.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 16.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.