Borussia M'bach
2 - 2
Real Madrid

Thuram (33', 58')
Stindl (56'), Bensebaini (79'), Neuhaus (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Benzema (87'), Casemiro (90+3')
Casemiro (89')

Preview

Benzema 'apologises to Vinicius for half-time comments'

Benzema 'tells Mendy not to pass to Vinicius during CL game'

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Borussia Monchengladbach	Draw	Real Madrid
30.99%	24.26%	44.75%

Both teams to score 58.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.31%

43.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.92%

66.08%

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.12%

26.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.81%

62.18%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.31%

19.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.32%

51.68%

Score Analysis

Borussia Monchengladbach 30.99%

Real Madrid 44.75%

Draw 24.25%

Borussia Monchengladbach	Draw	Real Madrid
2-1 @ 7.42% 1-0 @ 6.95% 2-0 @ 4.57% 3-1 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 2.64% 3-0 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.08% Total : 30.99%	1-1 @ 11.29% 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.25%	1-2 @ 9.18% 0-1 @ 8.6% 0-2 @ 6.99% 1-3 @ 4.98% 0-3 @ 3.79% 2-3 @ 3.27% 1-4 @ 2.02% 0-4 @ 1.54% 2-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.07% Total : 44.75%