Mainz 05
2 - 2
Schalke

Brosinski (6' pen.), Mateta (45+2' pen.)
Latza (64')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Uth (36'), St Juste (82' og.)
Kabak (44'), Laumann (54')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga match between Mainz 05 and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Schalke 04
46.79%	25.92%	27.29%

Both teams to score 50.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.25%

52.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.61%

74.38%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.47%

22.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.89%

56.1%

Schalke 04 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.82%

34.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.12%

70.87%

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 46.79%

Schalke 04 27.29%

Draw 25.92%

Mainz 05	Draw	Schalke 04
1-0 @ 11.47% 2-1 @ 9.18% 2-0 @ 8.55% 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-0 @ 4.25% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.7% 4-0 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.13% Total : 46.79%	1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.7% 2-2 @ 4.93% Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.92%	0-1 @ 8.27% 1-2 @ 6.61% 0-2 @ 4.44% 1-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.76% 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.25% Total : 27.29%