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We said: Greuther Furth 0-1 Stuttgart

This is likely to be a tight and nervy encounter on Saturday, with so much riding on the outcome and both sides in desperate need for the win. As a result, we cannot see many goals being scored in this one, but are predicting Stuttgart to just about edge out their opponents thanks to the return of their key man up front against a Greuther side sorely lacking in quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 37.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Greuther FurthDrawStuttgart
37.37%25.13%37.49%
Both teams to score 57.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.72%46.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.43%68.56%
Greuther Furth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.65%24.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.25%58.74%
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.72%24.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.35%58.64%
Score Analysis
    Greuther Furth 37.37%
    Stuttgart 37.49%
    Draw 25.13%
Greuther FurthDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 8.35%
1-0 @ 8.35%
2-0 @ 5.9%
3-1 @ 3.93%
3-2 @ 2.78%
3-0 @ 2.78%
4-1 @ 1.39%
4-2 @ 0.98%
4-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 37.37%
1-1 @ 11.82%
2-2 @ 5.91%
0-0 @ 5.91%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.13%
1-2 @ 8.37%
0-1 @ 8.37%
0-2 @ 5.92%
1-3 @ 3.95%
0-3 @ 2.79%
2-3 @ 2.79%
1-4 @ 1.4%
0-4 @ 0.99%
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 37.49%

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