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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 11, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
 
S

Wolfsburg
0 - 2
Stuttgart


Bornauw (24'), Arnold (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mavropanos (25'), Forster (63')
Ito (41'), Marmoush (71')

We said: Wolfsburg 2-1 Stuttgart

Despite the gap between these sides in the table, we believe this will be a tight encounter on Saturday. The hosts only have a couple of days to recover from their Champions League decider in midweek, compared to a full week from their visitors, but despite this, as well as their poor run of form, we are predicting a narrow home victory for them here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
WolfsburgDrawStuttgart
42.91%25.28%31.81%
Both teams to score 55.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.06%47.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.89%70.11%
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71%22.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.26%55.74%
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.56%28.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.8%64.19%
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 42.91%
    Stuttgart 31.81%
    Draw 25.28%
WolfsburgDrawStuttgart
1-0 @ 9.51%
2-1 @ 8.98%
2-0 @ 7.14%
3-1 @ 4.49%
3-0 @ 3.57%
3-2 @ 2.83%
4-1 @ 1.69%
4-0 @ 1.34%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 42.91%
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 6.34%
2-2 @ 5.65%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 7.97%
1-2 @ 7.52%
0-2 @ 5.01%
1-3 @ 3.15%
2-3 @ 2.37%
0-3 @ 2.1%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 31.81%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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