SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 68.5%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 13.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 2-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 13.67% | 17.83% | 68.5% |
| Both teams to score 55.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.24% | 35.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.16% | 57.83% |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.53% | 38.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.78% | 75.21% |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.5% | 9.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 68.14% | 31.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 3.93% 1-0 @ 3.49% 2-0 @ 1.67% 3-2 @ 1.47% 3-1 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.86% Total : 13.67% | 1-1 @ 8.22% 2-2 @ 4.62% 0-0 @ 3.65% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.83% | 0-2 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 9.67% 0-1 @ 8.6% 0-3 @ 7.95% 1-3 @ 7.59% 0-4 @ 4.68% 1-4 @ 4.47% 2-3 @ 3.63% 0-5 @ 2.2% 2-4 @ 2.13% 1-5 @ 2.1% 2-5 @ 1.01% Other @ 4.36% Total : 68.5% |
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