Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 62.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 17.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
