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Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 6, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
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Hertha Berlin
2 - 1
Augsburg

Piatek (62'), Lukebakio (87' pen.)
Stark (45+2'), Lukebakio (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Benes (2')
Hahn (26'), Pedersen (49'), Gouweleeuw (80')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hertha Berlin would win this match.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawAugsburg
39.03%25.94%35.02%
Both teams to score 54.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.96%50.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.98%72.02%
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.83%25.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.11%59.89%
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.55%27.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.06%62.94%
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 39.03%
    Augsburg 35.02%
    Draw 25.94%
Hertha BerlinDrawAugsburg
1-0 @ 9.53%
2-1 @ 8.5%
2-0 @ 6.57%
3-1 @ 3.91%
3-0 @ 3.02%
3-2 @ 2.53%
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 39.03%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 6.91%
2-2 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 8.93%
1-2 @ 7.97%
0-2 @ 5.77%
1-3 @ 3.43%
0-3 @ 2.49%
2-3 @ 2.37%
1-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 35.02%

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