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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 20, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Veltins-Arena
KL

Schalke
1 - 2
FC Koln

Hoppe (57')
Stambouli (49'), Boujellab (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Czichos (31'), Thielmann (90+3')
Horn (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
Schalke 04DrawFC Koln
33.57%25.86%40.57%
Both teams to score 54.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.08%49.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.09%71.9%
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.72%28.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36%64%
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.69%24.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.31%58.68%
Score Analysis
    Schalke 04 33.57%
    FC Koln 40.57%
    Draw 25.86%
Schalke 04DrawFC Koln
1-0 @ 8.68%
2-1 @ 7.76%
2-0 @ 5.48%
3-1 @ 3.27%
3-2 @ 2.31%
3-0 @ 2.31%
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 33.57%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 6.87%
2-2 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 9.72%
1-2 @ 8.68%
0-2 @ 6.88%
1-3 @ 4.1%
0-3 @ 3.24%
2-3 @ 2.59%
1-4 @ 1.45%
0-4 @ 1.15%
2-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 40.57%

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