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Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Sep 26, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
SchücoArena
KL

Arminia Bielefeld
1 - 0
FC Koln

Simun Edmundsson (78')
Klos (45'), Soukou (89'), Schipplock (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hector (17'), Czichos (43'), Sorensen (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arminia Bielefeld would win this match.

Result
Arminia BielefeldDrawFC Koln
45.98%23.71%30.31%
Both teams to score 60.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.53%41.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.13%63.87%
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72%18.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.65%49.35%
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.79%26.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69%61.31%
Score Analysis
    Arminia Bielefeld 45.98%
    FC Koln 30.31%
    Draw 23.71%
Arminia BielefeldDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 9.26%
1-0 @ 8.14%
2-0 @ 6.92%
3-1 @ 5.25%
3-0 @ 3.92%
3-2 @ 3.51%
4-1 @ 2.23%
4-0 @ 1.67%
4-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 45.98%
1-1 @ 10.9%
2-2 @ 6.2%
0-0 @ 4.79%
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.71%
1-2 @ 7.3%
0-1 @ 6.42%
0-2 @ 4.3%
1-3 @ 3.26%
2-3 @ 2.77%
0-3 @ 1.92%
1-4 @ 1.09%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 30.31%


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