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Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 15, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
VB

Mainz 05
1 - 0
VfL Bochum

St Juste (48')
Stach (55'), Stoger (85'), Nebel (86'), Svensson (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bella-Kotchap (70'), Gamboa (76'), Rexhbecaj (89')

We said: Mainz 05 2-1 VfL Bochum

Two teams with almost identical records so far this season, Mainz will be hoping that their superior record in recent clashes gives them the edge over Bochum. While the visitors have impressed this season, it has been at home where their points have come from, making a victory in Saturday's clash an unlikely prospect for Bochum. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 57.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 20.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mainz 05 in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Mainz 05.

Result
Mainz 05DrawVfL Bochum
57.23%22.62%20.15%
Both teams to score 53.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.12%45.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.81%68.19%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.21%15.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.07%44.93%
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.17%36.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.38%73.62%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 57.23%
    VfL Bochum 20.16%
    Draw 22.62%
Mainz 05DrawVfL Bochum
1-0 @ 10.73%
2-0 @ 9.91%
2-1 @ 9.9%
3-0 @ 6.1%
3-1 @ 6.09%
3-2 @ 3.04%
4-0 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 2.81%
4-2 @ 1.4%
5-0 @ 1.04%
5-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 57.23%
1-1 @ 10.72%
0-0 @ 5.81%
2-2 @ 4.94%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.62%
0-1 @ 5.81%
1-2 @ 5.35%
0-2 @ 2.9%
1-3 @ 1.78%
2-3 @ 1.65%
0-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 20.16%

Read more!
Read more!


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