Mainz 05
4 - 0
Hertha Berlin

Jae-sung (19'), Hack (41'), Widmer (49'), Boetius (79')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Serdar (36'), Stark (59')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Mainz 05 2-1 Hertha Berlin

We are predicting Mainz to return to winning ways here due to their strong home record and generally strong start to the season overall. Hertha will be full of confidence following their debut win under their new boss on Saturday, but an inconsistent campaign so far means they often struggle to put together a long streak. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 52.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Hertha Berlin
52.13%	24.4%	23.48%

Both teams to score 52.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.41%

49.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.39%

71.61%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81%

19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.45%

50.55%

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.29%

35.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.52%

72.48%

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 52.12%

Hertha Berlin 23.48%

Draw 24.4%

Mainz 05	Draw	Hertha Berlin
1-0 @ 11.26% 2-1 @ 9.64% 2-0 @ 9.36% 3-1 @ 5.34% 3-0 @ 5.18% 3-2 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 2.22% 4-0 @ 2.15% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.1% Total : 52.12%	1-1 @ 11.6% 0-0 @ 6.78% 2-2 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.4%	0-1 @ 6.99% 1-2 @ 5.97% 0-2 @ 3.6% 1-3 @ 2.05% 2-3 @ 1.7% 0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.93% Total : 23.48%