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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Dec 18, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
ML

Frankfurt
1 - 0
Mainz 05

Lindstrom (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Caricol (90+2')

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 Mainz 05

This clash is very difficult to call considering the similar level in quality that both sides have produced so far this season. However, based on recent form, as well as the struggles that Mainz have had on their travels compared to their home form, we are predicting a narrow home victory for Frankfurt in what is sure to be an intriguing encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 51.69%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawMainz 05
51.69%22.97%25.33%
Both teams to score 58.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.35%41.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.95%64.05%
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.8%16.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.32%45.68%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.16%29.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.08%65.92%
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 51.69%
    Mainz 05 25.33%
    Draw 22.97%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.68%
1-0 @ 8.8%
2-0 @ 8.01%
3-1 @ 5.88%
3-0 @ 4.86%
3-2 @ 3.55%
4-1 @ 2.67%
4-0 @ 2.21%
4-2 @ 1.62%
5-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 51.69%
1-1 @ 10.63%
2-2 @ 5.86%
0-0 @ 4.83%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.97%
1-2 @ 6.43%
0-1 @ 5.84%
0-2 @ 3.53%
1-3 @ 2.59%
2-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 25.33%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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