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Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 27, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
BM

RB Leipzig
3 - 2
Borussia M'bach

Nkunku (57'), Poulsen (66'), Sorloth (90+3')
Sabitzer (41'), Upamecano (43')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Hofmann (6' pen.), Thuram (19')
Elvedi (49'), Bensebaini (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
45.19%23.96%30.84%
Both teams to score 59.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.62%42.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.22%64.78%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.03%18.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.5%50.49%
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.68%26.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.55%61.44%
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 45.19%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 30.84%
    Draw 23.95%
RB LeipzigDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 9.21%
1-0 @ 8.3%
2-0 @ 6.9%
3-1 @ 5.1%
3-0 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 3.41%
4-1 @ 2.12%
4-0 @ 1.59%
4-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 45.19%
1-1 @ 11.07%
2-2 @ 6.15%
0-0 @ 4.99%
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.95%
1-2 @ 7.39%
0-1 @ 6.66%
0-2 @ 4.45%
1-3 @ 3.29%
2-3 @ 2.74%
0-3 @ 1.98%
1-4 @ 1.1%
2-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 30.84%

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