SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 45.19% | 23.96% | 30.84% |
| Both teams to score 59.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.62% | 42.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.22% | 64.78% |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.03% | 18.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.5% | 50.49% |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.68% | 26.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.55% | 61.44% |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 2-1 @ 9.21% 1-0 @ 8.3% 2-0 @ 6.9% 3-1 @ 5.1% 3-0 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 1.59% 4-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.33% Total : 45.19% | 1-1 @ 11.07% 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 4.99% 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.95% | 1-2 @ 7.39% 0-1 @ 6.66% 0-2 @ 4.45% 1-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.74% 0-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 1.1% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.32% Total : 30.84% |
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