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Champions League | Round of 16
Feb 16, 2021 at 8pm UK
Red Bull Arena
LL

RB Leipzig
0 - 2
Liverpool


Haidara (5'), Mukiele (5'), Nkunku (52'), Angelino (65'), Olmo (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Salah (53'), Mane (58')
Kabak (69'), Henderson (81')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawLiverpool
41.22%24.8%33.98%
Both teams to score 58.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.87%45.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.52%67.48%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.12%21.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.86%55.14%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.27%25.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.35%60.66%
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 41.22%
    Liverpool 33.98%
    Draw 24.8%
RB LeipzigDrawLiverpool
2-1 @ 8.82%
1-0 @ 8.56%
2-0 @ 6.5%
3-1 @ 4.47%
3-0 @ 3.29%
3-2 @ 3.03%
4-1 @ 1.7%
4-0 @ 1.25%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 41.22%
1-1 @ 11.61%
2-2 @ 5.99%
0-0 @ 5.63%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.8%
1-2 @ 7.88%
0-1 @ 7.64%
0-2 @ 5.19%
1-3 @ 3.57%
2-3 @ 2.71%
0-3 @ 2.35%
1-4 @ 1.21%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 33.98%

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