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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 12, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
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RB Leipzig
2 - 1
Augsburg

Olmo (38' pen.), Nkunku (43')
Klostermann (41'), Orban (62'), Adams (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Caligiuri (77' pen.)
Oxford (3'), Gouweleeuw (22'), Suchy (28'), Gikiewicz (34'), Benes (63')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 72.23%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 10.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawAugsburg
72.23%16.98%10.79%
Both teams to score 49.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.52%39.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.18%61.82%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.41%9.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.92%32.07%
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.41%45.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.6%81.4%
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 72.22%
    Augsburg 10.79%
    Draw 16.98%
RB LeipzigDrawAugsburg
2-0 @ 12.01%
1-0 @ 10.25%
2-1 @ 9.44%
3-0 @ 9.39%
3-1 @ 7.38%
4-0 @ 5.51%
4-1 @ 4.32%
3-2 @ 2.9%
5-0 @ 2.58%
5-1 @ 2.03%
4-2 @ 1.7%
6-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 72.22%
1-1 @ 8.05%
0-0 @ 4.37%
2-2 @ 3.71%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 16.98%
0-1 @ 3.43%
1-2 @ 3.16%
0-2 @ 1.35%
2-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 10.79%

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