Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 72.23%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 10.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.