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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 20, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
UB

RB Leipzig
1 - 0
Union Berlin

Forsberg (70')
Angelino (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 17.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawUnion Berlin
61.67%20.73%17.59%
Both teams to score 54.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.56%41.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.17%63.83%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.07%12.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.62%39.37%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.99%37.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.2%73.8%
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 61.67%
    Union Berlin 17.59%
    Draw 20.73%
RB LeipzigDrawUnion Berlin
2-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 9.95%
1-0 @ 9.79%
3-0 @ 6.83%
3-1 @ 6.79%
4-0 @ 3.49%
4-1 @ 3.47%
3-2 @ 3.37%
4-2 @ 1.73%
5-0 @ 1.43%
5-1 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 61.67%
1-1 @ 9.73%
2-2 @ 4.95%
0-0 @ 4.78%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.73%
1-2 @ 4.84%
0-1 @ 4.76%
0-2 @ 2.36%
2-3 @ 1.64%
1-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 17.59%

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