Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.