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Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Jan 2, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
UB

Werder Bremen
0 - 2
Union Berlin


Gross (33'), Selke (53')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Becker (12'), Awoniyi (28')
Andrich (25'), Promel (44'), Hubner (50'), Becker (68')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawUnion Berlin
36.1%25.4%38.5%
Both teams to score 56.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.47%47.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.26%69.74%
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37%25.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.47%60.53%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.69%24.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.3%58.7%
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 36.1%
    Union Berlin 38.5%
    Draw 25.39%
Werder BremenDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 8.48%
2-1 @ 8.17%
2-0 @ 5.77%
3-1 @ 3.71%
3-0 @ 2.62%
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 36.1%
1-1 @ 11.99%
0-0 @ 6.23%
2-2 @ 5.77%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 8.81%
1-2 @ 8.48%
0-2 @ 6.23%
1-3 @ 4%
0-3 @ 2.94%
2-3 @ 2.72%
1-4 @ 1.41%
0-4 @ 1.04%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 38.5%

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