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Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 15, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
LL

Union Berlin
1 - 0
B. Leverkusen

Teuchert (88')
Friedrich (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Tah (43'), Amiri (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 63.64%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 17.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.94%) and 0-1 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 2-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Union BerlinDrawBayer Leverkusen
17.16%19.19%63.64%
Both teams to score 59.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.09%34.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.11%56.88%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.47%33.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.83%70.16%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.55%10.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.96%34.03%
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 17.16%
    Bayer Leverkusen 63.64%
    Draw 19.19%
Union BerlinDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 4.72%
1-0 @ 3.83%
2-0 @ 2.09%
3-2 @ 1.94%
3-1 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 17.16%
1-1 @ 8.64%
2-2 @ 5.34%
0-0 @ 3.5%
3-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 19.19%
1-2 @ 9.77%
0-2 @ 8.94%
0-1 @ 7.91%
1-3 @ 7.36%
0-3 @ 6.73%
1-4 @ 4.16%
2-3 @ 4.02%
0-4 @ 3.8%
2-4 @ 2.27%
1-5 @ 1.88%
0-5 @ 1.72%
2-5 @ 1.03%
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 63.64%

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