Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 63.64%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 17.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.94%) and 0-1 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 2-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.