Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.44%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 19.83% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.91%) and 3-1 (7.18%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (5.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
