Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wolfsburg in this match.