Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Koln in this match.
