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Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Dec 16, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
LL

FC Koln
0 - 4
B. Leverkusen


Horn (34')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Weiser (8'), Diaby (10'), Schick (54'), Wirtz (59')
Dragovic (54')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 75.64%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 9.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.36%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a FC Koln win it was 2-1 (2.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawBayer Leverkusen
9.6%14.75%75.64%
Both teams to score 53.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.96%32.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.38%53.62%
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.3%42.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.97%79.03%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.95%7.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.24%25.76%
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 9.6%
    Bayer Leverkusen 75.64%
    Draw 14.76%
FC KolnDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 2.89%
1-0 @ 2.56%
2-0 @ 1.09%
3-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 9.6%
1-1 @ 6.8%
2-2 @ 3.84%
0-0 @ 3.01%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 14.76%
0-2 @ 10.59%
0-3 @ 9.36%
1-2 @ 9.01%
0-1 @ 7.99%
1-3 @ 7.97%
0-4 @ 6.21%
1-4 @ 5.28%
2-3 @ 3.39%
0-5 @ 3.29%
1-5 @ 2.8%
2-4 @ 2.25%
0-6 @ 1.46%
1-6 @ 1.24%
2-5 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 75.64%

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