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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Oct 3, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
LL

Stuttgart
1 - 1
B. Leverkusen

Kalajdzic (76')
Kempf (69'), Massimo (75'), Endo (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Schick (7')
Bellarabi (75'), Aranguiz (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.18%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
StuttgartDrawBayer Leverkusen
32.29%23.24%44.47%
Both teams to score 63.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.72%38.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.44%60.56%
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.55%23.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.54%57.46%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.37%17.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.78%48.22%
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 32.29%
    Bayer Leverkusen 44.47%
    Draw 23.23%
StuttgartDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 7.55%
1-0 @ 5.99%
2-0 @ 4.35%
3-1 @ 3.65%
3-2 @ 3.17%
3-0 @ 2.1%
4-1 @ 1.32%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 32.29%
1-1 @ 10.4%
2-2 @ 6.55%
0-0 @ 4.13%
3-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.23%
1-2 @ 9.03%
0-1 @ 7.18%
0-2 @ 6.23%
1-3 @ 5.23%
2-3 @ 3.79%
0-3 @ 3.6%
1-4 @ 2.27%
2-4 @ 1.64%
0-4 @ 1.56%
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 44.47%


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