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Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Sep 19, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
FL

Stuttgart
2 - 3
Freiburg

Kalajdzic (71'), Wamangituka (81')
Didavi (25'), Wamangituka (44')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Petersen (8'), Sallai (26'), Grifo (48')
Holer (35'), Kubler (90+6')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 56.39%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 22.71% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.58%) and 1-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
StuttgartDrawFreiburg
56.39%20.89%22.71%
Both teams to score 63.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.41%34.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.47%56.52%
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.72%12.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.98%38.02%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.94%28.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.28%63.72%
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 56.39%
    Freiburg 22.71%
    Draw 20.89%
StuttgartDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.63%
2-0 @ 7.58%
1-0 @ 7.22%
3-1 @ 6.74%
3-0 @ 5.3%
3-2 @ 4.28%
4-1 @ 3.53%
4-0 @ 2.78%
4-2 @ 2.24%
5-1 @ 1.48%
5-0 @ 1.17%
4-3 @ 0.95%
5-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 56.39%
1-1 @ 9.18%
2-2 @ 6.12%
0-0 @ 3.44%
3-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 20.89%
1-2 @ 5.83%
0-1 @ 4.38%
0-2 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 2.59%
1-3 @ 2.47%
0-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 22.71%


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