Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.03%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.