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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Aug 29, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
BM

Union Berlin
2 - 1
Borussia M'bach

Giesselmann (22'), Awoniyi (41')
Haraguchi (45'), Trimmel (52')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hofmann (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
39.03%25.87%35.1%
Both teams to score 54.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.29%49.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.28%71.72%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.97%25.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.31%59.69%
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.76%27.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.33%62.66%
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 39.03%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 35.1%
    Draw 25.87%
Union BerlinDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
1-0 @ 9.44%
2-1 @ 8.51%
2-0 @ 6.54%
3-1 @ 3.93%
3-0 @ 3.02%
3-2 @ 2.55%
4-1 @ 1.36%
4-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 39.03%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 6.82%
2-2 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.87%
0-1 @ 8.86%
1-2 @ 7.99%
0-2 @ 5.76%
1-3 @ 3.46%
0-3 @ 2.5%
2-3 @ 2.4%
1-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 35.1%

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