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Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Dec 15, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
FL

Union Berlin
0 - 0
Freiburg


Becker (77')
FT

Hofler (35')

We said: Union Berlin 1-1 Freiburg

Despite their respective setbacks at the weekend, both teams will feel confident about bouncing back with a win. Nevertheless, a second successive defeat would damage their hopes of European qualification, leading us to think that a low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawFreiburg
38.61%25.96%35.43%
Both teams to score 54.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.92%50.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.95%72.05%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.58%25.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.77%60.23%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.78%27.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.36%62.64%
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 38.61%
    Freiburg 35.43%
    Draw 25.96%
Union BerlinDrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 9.48%
2-1 @ 8.45%
2-0 @ 6.49%
3-1 @ 3.86%
3-0 @ 2.96%
3-2 @ 2.51%
4-1 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 38.61%
1-1 @ 12.33%
0-0 @ 6.92%
2-2 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 9%
1-2 @ 8.02%
0-2 @ 5.86%
1-3 @ 3.48%
0-3 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 2.38%
1-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 35.43%

Read more!
Read more!


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