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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Oct 24, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
FL

Union Berlin
1 - 1
Freiburg

Andrich (36')
Ingvartsen (39')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Grifo (34')
Tempelmann (69'), Sallai (77'), Lienhart (80'), Hofler (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 25.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Union BerlinDrawFreiburg
49.65%24.76%25.59%
Both teams to score 53.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.73%49.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.67%71.33%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.13%19.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.03%51.97%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.3%33.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.64%70.36%
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 49.65%
    Freiburg 25.59%
    Draw 24.76%
Union BerlinDrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 10.82%
2-1 @ 9.51%
2-0 @ 8.74%
3-1 @ 5.12%
3-0 @ 4.71%
3-2 @ 2.79%
4-1 @ 2.07%
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 49.65%
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 6.7%
2-2 @ 5.17%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.76%
0-1 @ 7.28%
1-2 @ 6.4%
0-2 @ 3.96%
1-3 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 25.59%


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