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Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 28, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
HL

Union Berlin
1 - 1
Hoffenheim

Kruse (9' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Schlotterbeck (29' og.)
Richards (79'), Vogt (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
Union BerlinDrawHoffenheim
34.2%23.96%41.84%
Both teams to score 61.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.87%41.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.47%63.53%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.29%23.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.16%57.84%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.09%19.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.96%52.03%
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 34.2%
    Hoffenheim 41.84%
    Draw 23.95%
Union BerlinDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 7.89%
1-0 @ 6.79%
2-0 @ 4.89%
3-1 @ 3.79%
3-2 @ 3.06%
3-0 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.36%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 34.2%
1-1 @ 10.96%
2-2 @ 6.37%
0-0 @ 4.72%
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.95%
1-2 @ 8.85%
0-1 @ 7.62%
0-2 @ 6.15%
1-3 @ 4.76%
2-3 @ 3.43%
0-3 @ 3.31%
1-4 @ 1.92%
2-4 @ 1.38%
0-4 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 41.84%

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