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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 51.75%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 23.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-0 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Arminia BielefeldDrawUnion Berlin
23.06%25.19%51.75%
Both teams to score 49.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.9%53.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.32%74.68%
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.96%38.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.19%74.81%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.48%20.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.98%53.03%
Score Analysis
    Arminia Bielefeld 23.06%
    Union Berlin 51.75%
    Draw 25.19%
Arminia BielefeldDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 7.55%
2-1 @ 5.78%
2-0 @ 3.65%
3-1 @ 1.86%
3-2 @ 1.47%
3-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 23.06%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 7.81%
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 12.36%
0-2 @ 9.79%
1-2 @ 9.46%
0-3 @ 5.17%
1-3 @ 5%
2-3 @ 2.41%
0-4 @ 2.05%
1-4 @ 1.98%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 51.75%

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