Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 51.75%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 23.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-0 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
