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Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Dec 12, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
WB

RB Leipzig
2 - 0
Werder Bremen

Sabitzer (26' pen.), Olmo (41')
Kampl (44'), Mukiele (47'), Upamecano (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 58.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 19.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawWerder Bremen
58.94%21.68%19.37%
Both teams to score 55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.14%42.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.74%65.25%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.79%14.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.07%41.92%
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.1%35.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.33%72.67%
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 58.95%
    Werder Bremen 19.37%
    Draw 21.67%
RB LeipzigDrawWerder Bremen
1-0 @ 9.95%
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.71%
3-1 @ 6.47%
3-0 @ 6.32%
3-2 @ 3.32%
4-1 @ 3.16%
4-0 @ 3.08%
4-2 @ 1.62%
5-1 @ 1.23%
5-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 58.95%
1-1 @ 10.19%
0-0 @ 5.1%
2-2 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.67%
0-1 @ 5.22%
1-2 @ 5.22%
0-2 @ 2.68%
1-3 @ 1.78%
2-3 @ 1.74%
0-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 19.37%

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